U.S. Crop Conditions Fall as Drought Conditions Worsen
By Stephanie Bryant-Erdmann, USW Market Analyst Farmers will tell you that winter wheat is a hardy plant; but for the current U.S. winter wheat crop, one of its most important inputs, water, is increasingly in short supply. The Feb. 1 U.S. Drought Monitor showed that drought ranging from abnormally dry to extreme, affects most of […]
Global Supplies of High Protein Wheat Keep Tightening
By Stephanie Bryant-Erdmann, USW Market Analyst In the Nov. 2, 2017, issue of “Wheat Letter,” we analyzed the tight supply of high protein U.S. wheat (minimum of 13.0 percent protein at 12 percent moisture basis (mb)) and its effects on pricing. The latest production and quality analysis suggests that global high protein wheat production in […]
Sustained Demand for U.S. Wheat in a New Price Environment
By Stephanie Bryant-Erdmann, USW Market Analyst Six months into marketing year 2017/18 (June to May), total U.S. export sales of 19.5 million metric tons (MMT) are 8 percent behind last year’s pace according to USDA Export Sales data through Jan. 4. However, the estimated total value of U.S. wheat export sales is 4 percent greater […]
USDA Reports Offer Early Snapshots of 2018/19 U.S. Winter Wheat Crop
From USDA and Media Reports Hours of work will come to fruition this week for market analysts at USDA and the farmers and buyers they serve. The results of some new reports provide an early look at the next U.S. winter wheat crop, which includes hard red winter (HRW), soft red winter (SRW) and fall-planted […]
Latest USDA Forecast Accounts for Increased U.S. Wheat Export Demand
By Steve Mercer, USW Vice President of Communications USDA market analysts cited Iraq’s major purchase of hard red winter (HRW) wheat as the specific basis for a significant drop in U.S. ending stocks in the November World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report. The report correspondingly put its total U.S. export forecast for 2017/18 […]
USDA Projects Shifting Supplies of Wheat, Location Will Likely Impact Quality and Availability
By Stephanie Bryant-Erdmann, USW Market Analyst USDA expects a lower world wheat production in 2017/18 of 751 million metric tons (MMT) (27.6 billion bushels), down slightly from the record high 754 MMT (27.7 billion bushels) in 2016/17 but 5 percent above the 5-year average. If realized, it would be the first production decline since 2012/13. […]
USDA Reports Smallest U.S. Harvested Area in 127 Years
By Stephanie Bryant-Erdmann, USW Market Analyst USDA’s Sept. 30 Small Grains Summary reported that U.S. farmers harvested 37.6 million acres (15.2 million hectares) of wheat for the 2017/18 crop, a 14 percent reduction from 2016/17 and the smallest harvested area since 1890. USDA estimated U.S. 2017/18 wheat production at 47.4 million metric tons (MMT) (1.74 […]
Taking Stock of the 2017/18 World Wheat Crop
By Stephanie Bryant-Erdmann, USW Market Analyst USDA’s latest forecast of total world wheat production stands at 745 million metric tons (MMT), down 1 percent from 2016/17. Though USDA expects global wheat production to decrease by 8.46 MMT, it expects global wheat consumption to remain high at 737 MMT, down 1.13 MMT from the 2016/17 record. […]
USDA: World Wheat Consumption Increases, Spring Wheat in Short Supply
By Stephanie Bryant-Erdmann, USW Market Analyst USDA increased its estimates for world wheat production, consumption and trade in its August World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report released today. USDA forecast global wheat production at 743 million metric tons (MMT), 3 percent above the 5-year average but still 2 percent below last year’s record. […]
U.S. Wheat Production to Fall to Lowest Level Since 2002/03
USDA forecast U.S. 2017/18 wheat production at 47.9 million metric tons (MMT), down 24 percent year over year and 18 percent below the 5-year average. The reason: an anticipated 12 percent decline in average yield and the lowest planted acres since USDA records began in 1919. However, USDA expects 2017/18 U.S. beginning stocks to total […]